February 25th, 2004



to yesterdays post, there is an addition that puts it in a more moderate mode of thinking. from the oakland tribune:

"Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall were drafted for an unclassified, worst-case look at climate change. But the echo chamber of Internet news and opinion transformed their thought exercise into a top military secret or the ultimate comeuppance for a fossil-fueled executive or a Bush conspiracy to hide the WMDs of the natural world.


"There's nothing secret about it, there's nothing Pentagon about it and there's no prediction in it," Randall said.

It's full of predictions, actually, but all start from a premise of abrupt climate change that is highly uncertain and outside the consensus of mainstream scientists.

Climate is inherently complex, and many climate scientists are dismayed that the Bush administration has sought refuge in that uncertainty rather than grappling with greenhouse-gas emissions from fossil-fuel burning. Yet climate models in general show gradual warming, not abrupt change on a global scale.

GBN's report warns that its scenario is "not the most likely," "not implausible" and "extreme."

"We were playing a little bit with where science ends and speculation begins," Randall said.

Yet most of the report's recommendations are a study in moderation. It calls for improving climate-prediction models, deciding which countries are most vulnerable to climate change, exercising teams for dealing with water or food shortages and identifying "no-regrets" strategies, such as more robust water supplies.

"This report was done not to scare people but to make people think more broadly about the possible consequences of climate change," said Peter Gleick, president of the Oakland-based Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment and Security.

"It may not be a likely scenario, but it's certainly a plausible one. As somebody who buys insurance against really bad things happening, it's something I really think we should pay attention to." "

Update My World

a few updates:

i've sold my story 'R' to agog! smashing fiction, edited by cat sparks. previous agog volumes have been well reviewed and well rewarded and have, indeed, been fine anthologies, with fine production values and, just as importantly, fine fiction. i was in the first agog volume, agog! fantastic fiction, the editor is a cool lady who i am always happy to work with, and i think 'R' is a good story that'll either have people with it or against it. it's about a man who wakes up one morning to find his world censored.

i also have a story, 'Adala's Memory: A March Collection' appearing in the anthology Spiny Babbler. this is an anthology done to promote new writing of australianness, i believe. my story is one of the early chapters from my thesis, a small two thousand word thing, set in granville (which is a suburb in sydney), totally without a fantastical element, and utterly stand alone. i like it. i'm glad it's going to appear somewhere, because it won't look the same this time next year, and i'm quite pleased with it as it is.

also: leviathan four: cities has been pushed back to November. all is good.

i received my contract for 'night of the dead king', which will be appearing in potato monkey, issue four, i think. the next one at any rate. for the folk who liked 'scratches in the sky' (in agog! fantastic fiction) this is another story in my steampunk/sword and sorcery world, featuring allandros daemozzan and, this time out, his companion the black, self titled, self claimed, chicken footed dwarf, balor bloodaxe.

and, apparently, unless things change, i'll be appearing on the local radio show smeg on the tenth of march. since it's local radio and has the broadcast range of a slingshot, and i have no idea if it can be caught on the net, likely most of you won't hear it. but you would if you could, right?

anyhow, all together, this is a nice range of stuff, each of them different to the next, with something for everyone, which is just how i like it.
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